Hey!! Replying on mobile so I'll be sparse, but ya! I basically agree with you, I read your comment in good faith and I knew most of this but I appreciate it anyway. Good + informative comment, esp for the shoutout to give directly.
I used to identify as an effective altruist for basically all the same reasons you are pro-EA!
The best models still absolutely fucks up code in the same way it does prose, but GitHub's Copilot gets it right 90% of the time. If you're writing in a new language, you can end up with an MVP waaaay faster than you would've before. If you have a method signature with descriptive names, it can usually fill it out for you. If you're a product manager, instead of hiring a team of datascientists, you might just hire one.
I think it's fair to say the supply-vs-demand of programming expertise changed a lot over 2023, purely because of these tools. That's my bread-and-butter and it's depressing.
With Google and other search engines turning to garbage, communities/support becoming increasingly dependent on Discord, and StackOverflow also turning to garbage (with AI answeres), so I found myself just giving up and checking ChatGPT and Copilot instead.
A lot of my coworkers are vocally dependent on these models, and suddenly I was one of them too.
AFAICT, this kind of replacement isn't happening wholesale for artists. People are using AI models in asset-creation pipelines and for decoration and marketing materials, and people are using models instead of commissioning art. But AFAICT there's not the industry-wide "ask ChatGPT rather than your coworkers or docs" that I'm seeing.
This makes sense, because "How do I unwrap this observable?" has one correct answer, whereas you really can't find a model that can, say, "Create concept art for an 80s-inspired retro desk fan prop in our South African inspired animal people world".
TLDR:
Current models still mess up, but get things right very often.
Programmers are definitely becoming dependent on these models.
Programmers are definitely being replaced, and my understanding is that artists aren't being replaced as widely yet.
sorry straight guys. they've just ruined metroid forums. i am going crazy in every metroid forum i'm in. i do not want to see samus's delicately rendered ass cheeks any more
My argument is that there is a lot new on the table for someone like me, who was just a kid who liked computers. I got Linux because Windows Vista was way too heavy for my laptop (+ Chrome, GIMP, etc. had Linux-exclusive 64-bit builds.)
My first experience with Ubuntu was playing around with GNOME, and then Unity when it came out on my next install. When I learned there were dozens of other DEs for me to try, I felt like a kid in a candy shop.
What's better is that I could even play Runescape and Minecraft again! It went from "6 fps and then my laptop turns off" to "like 12fps" which was sweet.
When I made the realization that almost anything I did could be written down to a .sh file and repeated, e.g. setting up a fresh install, my brain fucking exploded.
I'm a wizened Linux enjoyer now and I basically agree with you, but when I was a preteen, Ubuntu was the OS that was twice as fast, had a dozen different skins, made it dead-easy to install things, and also let you script it.
... Speaking of, I wonder what new DEs are out there...
dude didn't even do mental gymnastics. he bonked his head on every bar in the metaphorical gym and came out at the end saying "kissinger was a beautiful american man"
"Spartan is a gender" is kind of a joke yeah, but they were pretty much raised detached from the rest of society and with no opportunity for identity or self-expression.
twovests OP wrote
Reply to comment by toasthaste in i used to do machine learning ("AI") research, and i hate how bad the repute for AI has gotten by twovests
Hey!! Replying on mobile so I'll be sparse, but ya! I basically agree with you, I read your comment in good faith and I knew most of this but I appreciate it anyway. Good + informative comment, esp for the shoutout to give directly.
I used to identify as an effective altruist for basically all the same reasons you are pro-EA!