Totally fair, and I roughly agree on you. The problem is that all of these points are ones which I have to force myself not to qualify with all the details, lest I make each post a collection of 1000 essays.

This "HRT can be banned and I'd be a strain on the local DIY scene" is a <1% weight worry for me. Even "HRT can be banned" maybe weights for 1% of my concerns.

This is one of the few regards where transfem people have it much easier. Estrogen and progesterone aren't controlled substances like testosterone is, and currently are very easy to source online.

For testosterone, I'm aware of no DIY scene within 200 miles (but I hope that is just good opsec). All the calculus I know about is about prescriptions and stockpiles. The three other people who I know who are desisting or detransitioning are trans guys.

For estrogenizing hormones and antiandrogens, it flows pretty readily. It'll flow as long as horses pee, and I can't even see the worst excesses of a fascist regime also doing a horse genocide. The overseas sources of feminizing HRT dwarf my local DIY scene, and my DIY scene dwarfs the needs of the people taking feminizing hormones inside of it.

So, it's a "maybe 1%" thing, but there are just so many 1% worries alongside the big-ticket worries.